Welcome

Welcome to my investment blog where I share with you my analysis of REITs in Singapore.

I hope that my investment philosophy will bring me a steady stream of income apart from my job. I am aiming for at least $3,000 per month which can sustain the current expenses of myself and my family.

Do enjoy reading my blog and post any comments that you have. I welcome them because it is a time to learn from each other.

When I am looking at investing in REIT, here are some of the guidelines that I am looking at. Feel free to comment on it. I am willing to listen to ideas.

-> at least 8% yield.
-> Price that is lower than its NAV.
-> Low gearing (if possible)
-> High secured NAV.

Current Dividend income is $3,800/month.

Wednesday, January 2, 2019

Analysis of ESR REIT - Transiting into the league of big boys.

Current Price on 28th Dec 2018 = $0.505
  • Yield = 8.37%  
  • Price-to-book Ratio = 0.985
  • Assets per unit = $0.956
  • Debt per unit = $0.443 (including current liabilities)
  • Gearing = 46.4%
  • Secured NAV = $0.513 (101% of trading price)
ESR-REIT is currently my biggest holdings with about 329,000 shares worth about $166,000. It is earning me a monthly dividend of $1,100 which helps to pay a lot of my bills. This is because of the merger earlier with Viva Industrial Trust where most of my holdings in Viva Industrial Trust is converted to ESR REIT (and coupled with my original holdings). It looks a lot so may pare down but let's take a look at the statistics first.

With a yield of 8.37%, it is quite attractive. In fact, REITs with similar size (Ascendas REIT, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust and Frasers Logistics Trust) are yielding at a range of 6-7%. Moreover, they are trading at a slight discount while its peers are trading at a premium of 20% on average. Thus, looks like when the synergies are completed, the market will realize its value of being among the big boys and its price should move upwards. A comparative price level should be about 60 cents which gives an upside of about 20%.

I am more concerned whether there are downsides which I still can't find any as of now so I am holding on to my shares at the moment. They are giving a nice dividend so no complaints about it. Maybe after the price increase then we look at offloading. Do note that it will take some time and I believe it is about a year for it to go up to 60 cents.

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